Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 7

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Yate Town		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.11	3.5	3.08
	1.38	4.64	7.39	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.5)	3.57 ↑ (3.27)	3.87 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
48.1%

Draw
27%

Tiverton Town
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.6%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yate Town's performance.

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tiverton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yate Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tiverton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yate Town - Tiverton Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Jagger Cane L. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Karadogan J. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Zebroski C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yate won 1.

Yate is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tiverton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Yate won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Yate won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Yate Town - Gosport Borough	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Hungerford Town - Yate Town	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Yate Town - Chertsey Town	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Hanwell Town - Yate Town	3:0 ✺
13.08.25	Taunton Town - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Tiverton Town - Bracknell Town	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Taunton Town - Tiverton Town	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Tiverton Town - Sholing	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Hungerford Town - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Dorchester Town - Tiverton Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.24	Yate Town - Tiverton Town	2:2
English Southern League South Division
28.01.23	Yate Town - Tiverton Town	0:0
14.09.22	Tiverton Town - Yate Town	4:2
05.03.22	Yate Town - Tiverton Town	1:2
19.01.22	Tiverton Town - Yate Town	0:1
06.10.20	Yate Town - Tiverton Town	0:3
English FA Trophy
06.11.19	Tiverton Town - Yate Town	3:4 penalties

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