Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Tiverton Town		Bracknell Town

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	3.45	3.7	1.82	Watch
	3.59	4.01	1.79
	3.64	3.58	1.84
	3.55	3.45	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.49)	3.63 ↑ (3.41)	1.89 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
26.8%

Draw
25%

Bracknell Town
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25.8%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiverton Town's form might have worsened.

Bracknell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bracknell Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiverton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bracknell Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tiverton Town - Bracknell Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiverton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Down T. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Stephens T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 2.

Tiverton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bracknell's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bracknell could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tiverton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Taunton Town - Tiverton Town	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Tiverton Town - Sholing	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Hungerford Town - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Dorchester Town - Tiverton Town	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Tiverton Town - Chertsey Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLLWL
- Bracknell Town
English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Bracknell Town - Basingstoke Town	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Weymouth - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Bracknell Town - Poole Town	3:4 ✺
11.08.25	Bracknell Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Berkhamsted - Bracknell Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
05.04.25	Tiverton Town - Bracknell Town	2:1
24.08.24	Bracknell Town - Tiverton Town	2:0
09.12.23	Tiverton Town - Bracknell Town	2:1
09.09.23	Bracknell Town - Tiverton Town	3:0
07.02.23	Bracknell Town - Tiverton Town	2:1
20.08.22	Tiverton Town - Bracknell Town	1:1
English FA Trophy
13.11.21	Bracknell Town - Tiverton Town	1:3

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