Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Campo de la Constitucion (Yecla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Yeclano Deportivo		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.8	3.4
	2.15	2.75	3.3
	2.19	2.9	3.6
	2.25	2.92	3.43
	2.19	2.89	3.49	Watch
	2.24	2.9	3.44
	2.19	2.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.93)	2.87 ↓ (3.08)	3.47 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeclano Deportivo
41.7%

Draw
31.9%

Alcoyano
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

29.9%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

28.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeclano Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yeclano Deportivo's form might have worsened.

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yeclano Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-5%)

Yeclano Deportivo - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 3. Morros 2. Sanchez A. 6. Mayorga A. 4. Gabri 11. de Pedro D. 21. Satoca J. 18. Olmedo V. 7. Iniesta T. 10. Perez P. 22. Sutherland T.	13. Valens J. (G) 20. Undabarrena E. 2. Ferriz P. 18. Atienza P. 17. Lopez S. 19. Losada M. 6. Garcia I. 5. Albisua H. 14. Anton J. 23. Pastrana V. 11. Ferni
Substitutes
19. Errahaly M. 8. Juanje 13. Marti B. (G) 5. Relu 23. Serpeta 17. Solsona J. 20. Torres P.	4. Farru 25. Ferrer M. (G) 1. Garcia M. (G) 12. Granero B. 7. Herrera C. 10. Lara J. A. 8. Molina D. 15. Morgado P. 9. Niang M. 3. Rodriguez A. 22. Rojo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Pastrana V. ⚽,
35', Lopez S. 🟨,
45', Satoca J. 🟨,
45', Satoca J. ↓, Serpeta ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', de Pedro D. ↓, Solsona J. ↑,
46', Morros ↓, Errahaly M. ↑,
59', Pastrana V. 🟨,
68', Garcia I. 🟨,
68', Iniesta T. ↓, Juanje ↑,
68', Ferni ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
71', Valens J. 🟨,
73', Perez P. ↓, Relu ↑,
82', Sanchez A. 🟨,
84', Anton J. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Gabri ⚽,
87', Sanchez A. 🟨,
90+2', Garcia I. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Losada M. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13).

Yeclano in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alcoyano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Yeclano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Yeclano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Yeclano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.11.24	Marbella - Yeclano Deportivo	0:3 ✺
16.11.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Sevilla B - Yeclano Deportivo	1:4 ✺
02.11.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Antequera	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Laredo - Yeclano Deportivo	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWTW
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.11.24	Alcoyano - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Alcoyano - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
13.11.24	Alcoyano - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Betis B - Alcoyano	4:0 ✺
27.10.24	Mérida AD - Alcoyano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.08.23	Yeclano Deportivo - Alcoyano	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.02.13	Alcoyano - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0

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