Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcoyano		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.4
	2.25	2.87	3
	2.32	2.9	3.3
	2.27	3	3.41
	2.25	2.9	3.35	Watch
	2.31	2.8	3.42
	2.32	2.9	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.34)	2.88 ↑ (2.78)	3.31 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
40.3%

Draw
31.9%

Ceuta
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

33.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

32.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Alcoyano - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Valens J. (G) 14. Anton J. 18. Atienza P. 12. Granero B. 22. Rojo J. 6. Garcia I. 20. Undabarrena E. 8. Molina D. 23. Pastrana V. 19. Losada M. 11. Ferni	13. Vallejo G. (G) 2. Delgado F. 6. Hernandez C. 25. Cantero Y. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 7. Ahmed A. 11. Aquino D. 5. Bellotti M. 19. Jamelli 21. Lopez J. 28. Aniekan B.
Substitutes
5. Albisua H. 4. Farru 2. Ferriz P. 1. Garcia M. (G) 10. Lara J. A. 17. Lopez S. 15. Morgado P. 9. Niang M. 3. Rodriguez A.	22. Aguero 14. Blesa Alex 20. Escudero A. 15. Guzman J. 12. Herranz Corral V. 3. Lolo Gonzalez 1. Lopez P. (G) 8. Ramos D. 9. Rodri 17. Taufek B. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Jamelli 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rojo J. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Garcia I. ⚽,
53', Lopez J. 🟥,
56', Lopez S. 🟨,
58', Bellotti M. 🟨,
67', Bellotti M. ↓, Taufek B. M. ↑,
74', Aquino D. ↓, Rodri ↑,
74', Ahmed A. ↓, Aguero ↑,
79', Taufek B. M. ↓, Escudero A. ↑,
79', Jamelli ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
85', Ferni ↓, Niang M. ↑,
90+5', Aniekan B. 🟨,
90+7', Hernandez C. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 10).

Alcoyano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcoyano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.11.24	Alcoyano - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
13.11.24	Alcoyano - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Betis B - Alcoyano	4:0 ✺
27.10.24	Mérida AD - Alcoyano	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Alcoyano - Antequera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLTT
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.11.24	Ceuta - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Mérida AD - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.11.24	Xerez CD - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.11.24	Ceuta - Real Murcia	4:2 ✺
26.10.24	Sevilla B - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.05.24	Alcoyano - Ceuta	3:1
17.09.23	Ceuta - Alcoyano	1:0

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