Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Chapín (Jerez)


	Xerez CD		Yeclano Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.88	3.65
	2.12	2.84	4.06
	2.11	2.82	3.89	Watch
	2.1	2.63	3.75
	2.08	3.12	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.87)	2.86 ↓ (2.9)	3.82 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
43.9%

Draw
32.1%

Yeclano Deportivo
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

30.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Yeclano Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Xerez CD - Yeclano Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, Chuma ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).

Xerez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yeclano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Xerez might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Xerez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Xerez CD	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.02.26	Minera - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Xerez CD - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Estepona - Xerez CD	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Xerez CD - Melilla	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Antoniano - Xerez CD	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTWL
- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.02.26	Yeclano Deportivo - La Unión	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Recreativo Huelva - Yeclano Deportivo	5:1 ✺
08.02.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Minera	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Águilas	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Linares Deportivo - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.11.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Xerez CD	1:3
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.10.21	Yeclano Deportivo - Xerez CD	0:2

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