Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 23

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	101tv


	Malaga B		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.02
	3.71	3.03	2.12
	3.57	3.1	2.06
	3.5	2.8	2.1
	3.66	2.91	2.07
	3.5	3	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.23)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	2.08 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malaga B
25.5%

Draw
30.7%

Lorca Deportiva
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

29.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.6%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malaga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malaga B than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Malaga B - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Peque ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 1, Rodriguez Navarro A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lorca Deportiva might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malaga B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.02.26	Almeria B - Malaga B	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Malaga B - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Estepona - Malaga B	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Malaga B - CD Extremadura	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Malaga B - Recreativo Huelva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWLWL
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.02.26	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	La Unión - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Lorca Deportiva - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva	4:2 ✺
11.01.26	Puente Genil - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTLL

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