Match Info

First League - Round 9

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday


	Yelimay 2		Jaiyq

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.70	1.49
	4.85	3.55	1.60
	6.47	3.07	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.69 ↓ (6.47)	3.44 ↑ (3.07)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay 2
15.9%

Draw
26.4%

Jaiyq
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

29.8%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

25.5%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Jaiyq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay 2 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiyq than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaiyq, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Umbetov T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Yelimay 2 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jaiyq's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Jaiyq is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Jaiyq	23	9	4	10	21:26	-5	31
14	Yelimay Semey 2 ✔	24	3	3	18	19:50	-31	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey 2
Kazakh First League
26.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Yelimay 2	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Aktobe 2 - Yelimay 2	3:1 ✺
14.05.26	Yelimay 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	0:4 ✺
07.05.26	Kairat 2 - Yelimay 2	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	Yelimay 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Jaiyq
Kazakh First League
27.05.26	Jaiyq - Aktobe 2	3:2 ✺
22.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Jaiyq	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Jaiyq - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Taraz - Jaiyq	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Jaiyq - Kairat 2	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLL

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