The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yeni Malatyaspor 27.4%
Draw 28.3%
İstanbul Başakşehir 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
28%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
20.4%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yeni Malatyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yeni Malatyaspor's form might have worsened.
İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İstanbul Başakşehir's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yeni Malatyaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yeni Malatyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).
Yeni Malatyaspor has the most likely position - 18 (9.88%), has project points - 42, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Başakşehir has the most likely position - 9 (9.03%), has project points - 54, has currently - 15, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Yeni Malatyaspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Başakşehir is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Yeni Malatyaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Başakşehir will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Yeni Malatyaspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.