The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kasımpaşa 46.6%
Draw 27.4%
Yeni Malatyaspor 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
27.3%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
18.8%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Yeni Malatyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kasımpaşa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (+17.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yeni Malatyaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kasımpaşa - Yeni Malatyaspor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 13).
Kasımpaşa has the most likely position - 19 (13.08%), has project points - 39, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Yeni Malatyaspor has the most likely position - 16 (9.07%), has project points - 44, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Kasımpaşa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Yeni Malatyaspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Yeni Malatyaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Kasımpaşa will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.