The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yeni Malatyaspor 29.1%
Draw 27.8%
Hatayspor 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
28%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
20.4%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yeni Malatyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yeni Malatyaspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hatayspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20.6%
14.7%
64.7%
Yeni Malatyaspor - Hatayspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Yeni Malatyaspor will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hatayspor: 48.6% – 80.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 8).
Yeni Malatyaspor has the most likely position - 19 (10.35%), has project points - 41, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hatayspor has the most likely position - 5 (10.41%), has project points - 60, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (10%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Yeni Malatyaspor is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Hatayspor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Yeni Malatyaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Hatayspor will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Yeni Malatyaspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Watch
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