Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Yenisey 2		Chertanovo

	1	X	2
	4.55	4	1.47
	5.15	4.65	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (5.2)	4.33 ↓ (4.55)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yenisey 2
18.8%

Draw
21.1%

Chertanovo
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

21%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

20.5%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yenisey 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yenisey 2 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Yenisey 2 - Chertanovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Melnikov M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Lutashev V. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Pokrovskiy A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yenisey 2 won 0.

Yenisey 2 has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Chertanovo is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Chertanovo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Chertanovo is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Yenisey 2 has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:24 (averaging 1.6:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Yenisey 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:9 goals (averaging 1.8:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Yenisey 2	25	6	4	15	29:53	-24	22

Last Results with these Odds

Yenisey 2 - the odds 5.2 are the expected chance of winning is 18.33%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Yenisey 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
27.09.26	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Yenisey 2	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Yenisey 2 - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	2:6 ✺
13.09.26	Cherepovets - Yenisey 2	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Yenisey 2 - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Volga Tver - Yenisey 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
21.09.26	Chertanovo - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	4:2 ✺
12.09.26	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Chertanovo	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Chertanovo - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
06.09.26	Chertanovo - Cherepovets	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Spartak 2 Moscow - Chertanovo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
14.06.26	Chertanovo - Yenisey 2	3:1
02.11.25	Yenisey 2 - Chertanovo	2:2
30.03.25	Chertanovo - Yenisey 2	1:0
13.10.24	Yenisey 2 - Chertanovo	1:2
25.06.24	Chertanovo - Yenisey 2	4:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
15.05.23	Chertanovo - Yenisey 2	6:2
13.04.23	Yenisey 2 - Chertanovo	1:5

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