The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chertanovo 21.3%
Draw 24.3%
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 54.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.4%
24.3%
63.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.4%
18.4%
47.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chertanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chertanovo's performance.
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Osipov A. (G) 13. Bartasevich V. (C) 7. Gainullin R. 42. Grachev M. 52. Kavtrev E. 21. Kondrashov D. 18. Korunov D. 9. Melnikov M. 27. Mikadze G. 2. Polyakov I. 17. Semenov S.
1. Golubev A. (G) 15. Bondar A. 7. Dzhamilov S. 31. Kasimov T. 22. Khomukha I. 14. Mashukov I. (C) 12. Mukba E. 28. Platonov P. 85. Pyatkin I. 8. Sukhomlinov D. 44. Sukhoruchenko M.
Substitutes
15. Agafontsev V. 88. Andreev N. 4. Ermolaev D. 16. Maniac D. (G) 45. Nikiema Y. 10. Rebrov S. 71. Safronov G. 69. Seitov T. 6. Zubakin G.
11. Abdullaev S. 27. Budylin A. 98. Ismagilov A. (G) 24. Kakhidze A. 9. Kotik A. 6. Pechenkin N. 13. Puzanov S. 19. Sharifullin L. 96. Vasiljev N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Melnikov M. 🟨,
20', Platonov P. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Gaynullin R. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Mashukov I. ⚽,
40', Bondar A. ↓, Vasiljev N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Dzhamilov S. ↓, Kakhidze A. ↑,
56', Sukhomlinov D. ↓, Sharifullin L. ↑,
56', Mashukov I. ↓, Kotik A. ↑,
62', Sharifullin L. 🟨,
69', Gaynullin R. ↓, Agafontsev V. ↑,
69', Grachev M. ↓, Safronov G. ↑,
69', Kavtrev E. ↓, Seitov T. ↑,
72', Sukhoruchenko M. ↓, Abdullaev S. ↑,
90+2', Melnikov M. ↓, Nikiema Y. ↑,
90+3', Bartasevich V. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Khomukha I. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Kondrashov D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kotik A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Semenov S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Pyatkin I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Polyakov I. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Abdullaev S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Safronov G. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Vasiljev N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Korunov D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Chertanovo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Neftekhimik has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Neftekhimik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Neftekhimik is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chertanovo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Chertanovo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
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Osipov A. (G) 
Gainullin R. 
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