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Current Win Probability
Yenisey 2 36%
Draw 26.9%
Dynamo Vologda 37.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.5%
27.8%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
26.6%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yenisey 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Dynamo Vologda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Vologda's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yenisey 2 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yenisey 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Vologda than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Vologda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yenisey 2 - Dynamo Vologda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Shupyakov E. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Stepin M. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Krivoruchko N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yenisey 2 won 0.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Yenisey 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Yenisey 2 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:15 (averaging 0.4:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Yenisey 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).