Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 30

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Krasnoyarsk)

Referee: Chembulatov M. (Rus)


	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk		Volgar Astrakhan

	1	X	2
	1.99	3.45	3.8
	1.97	3.42	3.8
	1.94	3.52	3.77	Watch
	1.92	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.91)	3.4 ↓ (3.49)	3.78 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
47.8%

Draw
27.5%

Volgar Astrakhan
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.5%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

25.6%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Volgar Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Staver E. (G) 80. Bardybakhin V. 77. Gashchenkov M. 21. Ivanov E. 29. Khozin V. 2. Kichin V. 8. Lomakin A. 33. Maslovskiy A. 87. Mazurin A. 75. Okladnikov A. 11. Tikhonov D.	71. Odoevski D. (G) 5. Atabayev E. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 22. Khomukha I. 57. Krotov V. 17. Lesnikov D. 7. Pavlishin A. 90. Shakuro P. 31. Tkachuk D. 23. Ushatov K. 58. Zuev I.
Substitutes
1. Antipin S. (G) 55. Bogatyrev N. 95. Lutashev V. 13. Markov N. 27. Nemchenko A. 17. Orlov A. 66. Polshikov D. 10. Saaduev S. 9. Savelyev M. 5. Stezhko V. 23. Uzhgin M. 42. Yarusov D. (G)	15. Folmer K. 19. Kosarev K. 70. Malyarov N. 10. Martovoy D. 88. Obivalin S. 42. Shaikhtdinov D. 55. Shlyakov E. 20. Smirnov D. 99. Smirnov O. (G)
Coaches
Tikhonov A.	Klyuev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Bardybakhin V. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Lesnikov D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Okladnikov A. ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
61', Krotov V. 🟨,
64', Krotov V. ↓, Kosarev K. ↑,
66', Tikhonov D. 🟨,
69', Pavlishin A. ↓, Smirnov D. ↑,
69', Lesnikov D. ↓, Martovoy D. ↑,
72', Martovoy D. 🟨,
84', Ushatov K. ↓, Malyarov N. ↑,
84', Mazurin A. ↓, Saaduev S. ↑,
86', Tkachuk D. ↓, Shlyakov E. ↑,
87', Bardybakhin V. ↓, Stezhko V. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Khozin V. ⚽,
90+3', Ivanov E. 🟨,
90+7', Zuev I. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yenisey won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Yenisey will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Yenisey won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Yenisey won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
24.04.24	Sokol Saratov - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	4:1 ✺
07.04.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Khimki	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLW
- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL
24.04.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Volgar Astrakhan	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Tyumen	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	KAMAZ - Volgar Astrakhan	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Rodina Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
18.10.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0
Russian FNL
19.08.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2
05.03.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1
14.08.22	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0
06.03.22	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:3
29.08.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:2
27.02.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:4

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