Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 29

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Astrakhan)

Referee: Kulikov S. (Rus)


	Volgar Astrakhan		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.66	2.96	2.59
	2.86	2.89	2.71
	2.78	3.13	2.57	Watch
	2.55	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.52)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.63 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volgar Astrakhan
34%

Draw
30.8%

Torpedo Moscow
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

30%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volgar Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Odoevski D. (G) 5. Atabayev E. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 22. Khomukha I. 57. Krotov V. 17. Lesnikov D. 7. Pavlishin A. 90. Shakuro P. 31. Tkachuk D. 23. Ushatov K. 58. Zuev I.	12. Baburin E. (G) 2. Borodin S. 97. Curic M. 17. Gorbunov I. 3. Ivankov A. 65. Moskvichev V. 7. Poloz D. 90. Roganovic B. 11. Shamkin D. 99. Shevchenko G. 9. Stefanovich I.
Substitutes
15. Folmer K. 19. Kosarev K. 6. Krivokhizhin E. 70. Malyarov N. 88. Obivalin S. 42. Shaikhtdinov D. 55. Shlyakov E. 99. Smirnov O. (G)	51. Botnar V. (G) 89. Cherviakov R. 21. Gongadze G. 87. Kostin A. 25. Kuzmichev I. 10. Lebedenko I. 69. Manelov I. 19. Melekestsev T. 41. Mikushin V. 15. Orekhov A. 74. Volkov M. (G)
Coaches
Klyuev D.	Kononov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Roganovic B. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
21', Pavlishin A. 🟨,
36', Krotov V. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Gorbunov I. ⚽,
44', Gorbunov I. ↓, Tugarev R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Krotov V. ⚽,
63', Ushatov K. ↓, Kosarev K. ↑,
63', Pavlishin A. ↓, Malyarov N. ↑,
68', Stefanovich I. ↓, Lebedenko I. ↑,
68', Moskvichev V. ↓, Kostin A. ↑,
68', Poloz D. ↓, Cherviakov R. ↑,
72', Lesnikov D. ↓, Folmer K. ↑,
72', Folmer K. 🟨,
90', Shakuro P. ↓, Shlyakov E. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volgar won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Volgar have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Volgar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Volgar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL
20.04.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Volgar Astrakhan	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Tyumen	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	KAMAZ - Volgar Astrakhan	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Rodina Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	3:0 ✺
18.03.24	Arsenal Tula - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLTLT
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
20.04.24	Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Sokol Saratov - Torpedo Moscow	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Torpedo Moscow - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
18.03.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
06.11.23	Torpedo Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	0:3
Club Friendly
28.06.22	Torpedo Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1
Russian FNL
27.11.21	Torpedo Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0
21.08.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Torpedo Moscow	0:1
02.05.21	Torpedo Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0
07.11.20	Volgar Astrakhan - Torpedo Moscow	3:2
16.04.13	Volgar Astrakhan - Torpedo Moscow	0:1

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