Match Info

K3 League - Round 8

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Yeoju		Pocheon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	3.1	1.95
	3.81	3.25	2.03
	3.72	3.16	1.99	Watch
	3.7	2.88	1.95
	3.79	3.08	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (3.73)	3.09 ↓ (3.58)	1.97 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeoju
24.5%

Draw
29.4%

Pocheon
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

25.7%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

25.3%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeoju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pocheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeoju than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pocheon than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Yeoju - Pocheon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, ⚽,
33', 2 - 2, ⚽,
40', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 3 - 2, ⚽,
64', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5).

Yeoju has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pocheon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Yeoju has had a series of home games.

Pocheon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yeoju won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Yeoju won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pocheon	23	13	7	3	38:19	19	46
10	Yeoju Citizen	23	7	7	9	26:29	-3	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeoju FC
South Korean K3 League
19.04.26	Yeoju - Mokpo City	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Yeoju - Dangjin Citizen	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Yeoju - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Yeoju - Ulsan Citizen	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Changwon City - Yeoju	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTTWW
- FC Pocheon
South Korean K3 League
19.04.26	Pocheon - Siheung	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Mokpo City - Pocheon	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Daejeon Korail - Pocheon	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Pocheon - Dangjin Citizen	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pocheon - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
26.07.25	Yeoju - Pocheon	1:0
06.04.25	Pocheon - Yeoju	2:0
05.10.24	Yeoju - Pocheon	1:1
09.06.24	Pocheon - Yeoju	1:2
South Korean Cup
04.03.23	Yeoju - Pocheon	4:3

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