Match Info

K3 League - Round 7

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Yeoju		Mokpo City

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.09	3.62	3.44
	2.12	3.47	3.06	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.25
	1.98	3.54	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.26)	3.43 ↑ (3.37)	3.31 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeoju
45.4%

Draw
26.8%

Mokpo City
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

26.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeoju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Mokpo City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeoju than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Yeoju - Mokpo City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 13).

Yeoju is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mokpo City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yeoju won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Yeoju won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Yeoju Citizen	24	7	7	10	27:31	-4	28
12	Mokpo	23	5	9	9	22:36	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeoju FC
South Korean K3 League
11.04.26	Yeoju - Dangjin Citizen	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Yeoju - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Yeoju - Ulsan Citizen	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Changwon City - Yeoju	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Yeoju - Yangpyeong	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TTWWT
- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
11.04.26	Mokpo City - Pocheon	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Mokpo City - Dangjin Citizen	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Gangneung - Mokpo City	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Mokpo City - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Mokpo City - Changwon City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
12.07.25	Mokpo City - Yeoju	0:3
16.03.25	Yeoju - Mokpo City	3:1
South Korean Cup
09.03.25	Yeoju - Mokpo City	4:3 penalties
South Korean K3 League
29.06.24	Mokpo City - Yeoju	2:3
02.03.24	Yeoju - Mokpo City	1:2

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