Match Info

K3 League - Round 16

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Changwon City		Yeoju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.00	3.75
	2.02	2.92	3.6	Watch
	2.12	3.05	3.89
	2.04	3.1	3.64	Watch
	2.09	3	3.75
	2.14	3.03	3.66
	2.04	2.95	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.81)	3.01 ↓ (3.35)	3.71 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changwon City
44.7%

Draw
30.5%

Yeoju
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

26.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changwon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Yeoju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changwon City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeoju than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Changwon City - Yeoju Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Changwon will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
73', 2 - 0, ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 6)

Changwon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Yeoju has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Changwon is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Changwon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Changwon	23	7	8	8	26:28	-2	29
10	Yeoju Citizen	23	7	7	9	26:29	-3	28

Last Results with these Odds

Yeoju - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 23.38%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
20.06.26	Changwon City - Mokpo City	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Dangjin Citizen - Changwon City	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Gangneung - Changwon City	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Changwon City - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Pocheon - Changwon City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWT
- Yeoju FC
South Korean K3 League
20.06.26	Yangpyeong - Yeoju	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Yeoju - Siheung	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Yeoju - Daejeon Korail	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Yeoju	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Yeoju - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
21.03.26	Changwon City - Yeoju	0:1
26.10.25	Changwon City - Yeoju	2:1
14.06.25	Yeoju - Changwon City	1:2
25.08.24	Changwon City - Yeoju	0:0
28.04.24	Yeoju - Changwon City	0:2

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