Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 3

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Huish Park (Yeovil)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Yeovil Town		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.7	4.1
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.78	3.75	4.62
	1.7	3.73	4.76	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.4
	1.74	3.56	4.5
	1.75	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.96)	3.61 ↑ (3.39)	4.44 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeovil Town
53.4%

Draw
25.7%

Ebbsfleet United
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

26.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeovil Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yeovil Town's performance.

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ebbsfleet United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yeovil Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Yeovil Town - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yeovil will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ebbsfleet will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yeovil: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wright O. (G) 9. Jarvis A. 14. McGavin B. 10. Nouble F. 7. Pearson S. 19. Sims J. 23. Smith M. 6. Wannell J. 3. Whittle A. 4. Williams M. 8. Worthington M. (C)	1. Cousins M. (G) 22. Chapman B. 26. Dallison T. 10. Fonguck W. 6. John L. 8. Kellerman J. 2. O'Neil L. 3. Page L. 27. Tanner C. 39. Thomas K. 4. Wright J.
Substitutes
20. Araoye R. 24. Cooper C. 22. Gould M. (G) 27. Greenslade H. 16. Lo-Everton S. 2. Thomas J. 11. Young J.	30. Berry D. (G) 5. Cordner T. 15. Cundle G. 16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 14. Poleon D. 12. Samuel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, McGavin B. ⚽,
39', Thomas K. ↓, Samuel D. ↑,
40', 2 - 0, Smith M. ⚽,
42', Wright O. 🟨,
45+6', Page L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sims J. ↓, Cooper C. ↑,
46', Whittle A. ↓, Araoye R. ↑,
46', Fonguck W. ↓, Poleon D. ↑,
55', Wright J. ↓, Edser T. ↑,
56', Tanner C. ↓, Domi F. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Page L. ⚽,
67', 2 - 2, Samuel D. ⚽,
68', Jarvis A. ↓, Greenslade H. ↑,
71', McGavin B. ↓, Lo-Everton S. ↑,
73', Pearson S. ↓, Young J. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Greenslade H. ⚽,
83', Nouble F. 🟨,
83', Page L. ↓, Cundle G. ↑,
89', Domi F. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Yeovil is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ebbsfleet has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Yeovil is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeovil Town
English National League
17.08.24	Braintree Town - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Yeovil Town - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Weston-super-Mare - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Farnborough - Yeovil Town	1:2 ✺
19.07.24	Yeovil Town - Exeter City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWL
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
17.08.24	Ebbsfleet United - Barnet	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Gateshead - Ebbsfleet United	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Ebbsfleet United - Crawley Town	1:1 ✺
30.07.24	Welling United - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Ebbsfleet United - Cambridge United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
13.08.19	Ebbsfleet United - Yeovil Town	1:3

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