Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 2

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Ebbsfleet United		Barnet

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.95
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	3.3	3.75	2
	3.65	3.93	2
	3.75	3.77	1.88	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.91
	3.63	3.72	1.87
	3.3	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.95)	3.69 ↑ (3.5)	1.94 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
26.8%

Draw
25.3%

Barnet
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

26.6%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

25.4%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ebbsfleet United - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cousins M. (G) 22. Chapman B. 5. Cordner T. 16. Domi F. 8. Kellerman J. 2. O'Neil L. 3. Page L. 20. Phillips G. 12. Samuel D. 39. Thomas K. 4. Wright J.	1. Hayes N. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 21. Clifford B. 3. Coker B. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 9. Kabamba N. 11. Kanu I. 26. Kenlock M. 30. Kizzi J. 22. Oluwo A. 10. Stead C.
Substitutes
30. Berry D. (G) 15. Cundle G. 17. Edser T. 10. Fonguck W. 6. John L. 14. Poleon D. 27. Tanner C.	12. Chapman H. 4. Collinge D. 13. Gillmore J. (G) 2. Hall-Johnson R. 6. Okimo J. 25. Tavares N. 20. Wilkinson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Thomas K. 🟨,
32', Samuel D. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Stead C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Thomas K. ↓, Poleon D. ↑,
58', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
67', Clifford B. ↓, Tavares N. ↑,
70', 🟨,
70', 0 - 2, Stead C. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Poleon D. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 2.

Ebbsfleet is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barnet is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Barnet have a series of guest games.

Barnet will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
10.08.24	Gateshead - Ebbsfleet United	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Ebbsfleet United - Crawley Town	1:1 ✺
30.07.24	Welling United - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Ebbsfleet United - Cambridge United	1:3 ✺
23.07.24	Tonbridge Angels - Ebbsfleet United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLLW
- Barnet
English National League
10.08.24	Halifax Town - Barnet	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Barnet - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Hornchurch - Barnet	0:1 ✺
22.07.24	Chelmsford City - Barnet	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Barnet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.12.23	Ebbsfleet United - Barnet	1:1
28.08.23	Barnet - Ebbsfleet United	3:2
26.11.19	Barnet - Ebbsfleet United	5:2
24.09.19	Ebbsfleet United - Barnet	3:0
08.12.18	Ebbsfleet United - Barnet	1:0
18.08.18	Barnet - Ebbsfleet United	0:3

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