Match Info

Date: 11 October 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Yessentuki		Tuapse

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Yessentuki
17.9%

Draw
19.1%

Tuapse
63%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.2%

22%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

18.2%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yessentuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Tuapse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yessentuki than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuapse than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuapse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Yessentuki has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tuapse is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tuapse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tuapse is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Yessentuki won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Yessentuki won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Yessentuki
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
05.10.21	Rotor 2 - Yessentuki	6:0 ✺
27.09.21	Yessentuki - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:2 ✺
18.09.21	Forte Taganrog - Yessentuki	6:0 ✺
13.09.21	Yessentuki - Kuban-Kholding	1:2 ✺
08.09.21	Alania 2 - Yessentuki	1:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLLT
- FC Tuapse
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
04.10.21	Tuapse - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:1 ✺
26.09.21	Dynamo Stavropol - Tuapse	5:1 ✺
20.09.21	Tuapse - SKA Rostov	0:2 ✺
08.09.21	Rotor 2 - Tuapse	0:1 ✺
04.09.21	Tuapse - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWL

Yessentuki - Tuapse