Match Info
Date: 11 October 2021, Monday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Yessentuki |
|
Tuapse |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.75 |
4.4 |
1.5 |
|
 |
5 |
4.7 |
1.4 |
|
 |
4.5 |
4.81 |
1.47 |
|
 |
6.05 |
5.05 |
1.38 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.08 ↑
(4.72) |
4.74 ↑
(4.13) |
1.44 ↓
(1.55) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Yessentuki
17.9% | Draw
19.1% | Tuapse
63% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yessentuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Tuapse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yessentuki than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuapse than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuapse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13). Yessentuki has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Tuapse is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Tuapse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match Tuapse is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Yessentuki won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6. Including matches at home between the teams Yessentuki won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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