Match Info

Cymru South - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Ynyshir Albions		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.7	2.78
	2.09	3.8	2.8
	2.42	3.22	2.85	Watch
	2.11	3.72	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.3)	3.61 ↑ (3.57)	2.81 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ynyshir Albions
42.1%

Draw
25.4%

Afan Lido
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

25.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

24.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ynyshir Albions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ynyshir Albions than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Ynyshir Albions - Afan Lido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Morgan C. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Reed L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, Reed L. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14).

Ynyshir Albions has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Afan Lido has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Afan Lido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ynyshir Albions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ynyshir Albions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ynyshir Albions
Welsh Cymru South
25.08.25	Cambrian United - Ynyshir Albions	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Newport City - Ynyshir Albions	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Ynyshir Albions - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
08.08.25	Pontypridd United - Ynyshir Albions	2:3 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Ynyshir Albions - Llanelli	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 LTTWL
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
22.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	3:2 ✺
15.08.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	1:4 ✺
09.08.25	Afan Lido - Treowen Stars	0:4 ✺
Welsh League Cup
01.08.25	Afan Lido - Swansea City U21	0:5 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
25.07.25	Newport City - Afan Lido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
22.04.23	Ynyshir Albions - Afan Lido	2:1
06.12.22	Afan Lido - Ynyshir Albions	1:0

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