Match Info

Cymru South - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Cardiff Draconians		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.9	3.25
	1.85	4.23	3.15
	1.86	4.08	3.48	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.3
	1.93	4.52	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)	4.09 ↑ (3.86)	3.24 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Draconians
49.4%

Draw
22.4%

Afan Lido
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

23.5%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Afan Lido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (-3%)

Cardiff Draconians - Afan Lido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Bowen D. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Keetch C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Treharne H. ⚽,
76', Owens C. R. L. 🟨,
79', 3 - 1, Roberts S. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 1, Pepper Ch. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).

In recent matches, Cardiff Draconians has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Afan Lido is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Afan Lido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cardiff Draconians has had a series of home games.

Cardiff Draconians might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cardiff Draconians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Afan Lido	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11
13	Cardiff Draconians	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
11.04.26	Cardiff Draconians - Pontypridd United	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Cardiff Draconians	4:4 ✺
28.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Newport City	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Ynyshir Albions	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Trefelin	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTLWL
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
03.04.26	Afan Lido - Cwmbran Celtic	4:1 ✺
28.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
23.03.26	Treowen Stars - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	4:1 ✺
13.03.26	Afan Lido - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
16.09.25	Afan Lido - Cardiff Draconians	1:3

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