Match Info

Cymru South - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ynyshir Albions		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.25	5.30
	1.49	4.43	5.14
	1.45	4.6	6.1	Watch
	1.47	4.35	5.05
	1.41	4.35	5.87
	1.45	4.40	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 (1.45)	4.4 ↓ (4.55)	5.48 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ynyshir Albions
62.7%

Draw
20.7%

Llanelli
16.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.4%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

19.5%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ynyshir Albions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Llanelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ynyshir Albions than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Ynyshir Albions - Llanelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Haig J. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Morgan C. ⚽,
41', 3 - 0, Archibald T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
52', 4 - 0, Facey D. ⚽,
57', 5 - 0, Haig J. ⚽,
75', 6 - 0, Haig J. (Penalty Awarded),
80', 6 - 1, Whitmore K. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 6 - 2, Whitmore K. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 7th and 16th in the Relegation).

Ynyshir Albions has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Llanelli has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ynyshir Albions may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ynyshir Albions has faced a series of away games on the road.

Ynyshir Albions holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ynyshir Albions has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:12 (averaging 1:4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ynyshir Albions against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:11 goals (averaging 1.5:5.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ynyshir Albions	9	4	4	1	15:9	6	16
16	Llanelli	12	0	2	10	9:36	-27	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ynyshir Albions
Welsh Cymru South
03.10.26	Treowen Stars - Ynyshir Albions	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Ynyshir Albions - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Carmarthen Town - Ynyshir Albions	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Afan Lido - Ynyshir Albions	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Newport City - Ynyshir Albions	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTTTW
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
02.10.26	Llanelli - Baglan Dragons	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Llantwit Major - Llanelli	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Caerau Ely - Llanelli	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Llanelli - Treowen Stars	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llanelli	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Ynyshir Albions - Llanelli	1:4
Welsh Cymru South
10.04.23	Ynyshir Albions - Llanelli	2:7
26.08.22	Llanelli - Ynyshir Albions	1:0

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