Match Info

K League 2 - Round 21

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Yongin Mireu Stadium (Yongin)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Yongin		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.30	3.10	2.00
	3.40	3.35	1.90
	3.77	3.55	2.05
	3.59	3.45	2.02	Watch
	3.70	3.50	1.98
	3.57	3.32	1.93	Watch
	3.40	3.25	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.86)	3.35 ↓ (3.65)	1.98 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yongin
26.2%

Draw
27.4%

Busan I Park
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

25.6%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yongin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yongin than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Busan I Park could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	15.8%	73.7%

Yongin - Busan I Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Yongin will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Busan I Park will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Busan I Park: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hwang Seong-Min (G) 44. Lee Jin-Seop 4. Kwak Yun-Ho (C) 2. Kang Sin-Myeong 12. Cho Jae-Hun 24. Kim Jin-ho 66. Kim Han-Seo 22. Kim Han-Gil 11. Gabriel Tigrao 20. Choi Chi-Ung 7. Vitinho	1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 11. Ahn Hyun-Beom 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Kim Hee-Seung 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 10. Gabriel Honorio 6. Lee Dong-Su 88. Park Hye-seong 47. Son Hwi 9. Kim Chan 99. Cristian Renato
Substitutes
8. Choi Young-Jun 17. Jin Tae-Ho 27. Kim Bo-Sub 15. Kim Hyeon-jun 26. Lim Chai-Min 1. Novo E. (G) 6. Shin Jin-Ho 9. Suk Hyun-Jun 19. Yu Dong-Gyu	18. Baek Ga-On 3. Cho Dong-Jae 21. Kim Dong-Wook 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 66. Kim Se-Hoon 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 97. Son J. 7. Xavier
Coaches
Choi Yun-Kyum	Cho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lee Dong-Su ↓, Kim Min-Hyeok ↑,
46', Kim Hee-Seung ↓, Akhadov O. ↑,
46', Cho Jae-Hun ↓, Kim Hyeon-jun ↑,
61', Vitinho ↓, Kim Bo-Sub ↑,
61', Kim Jin-ho ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Kim Bo-Sub ⚽, Kim Hyeon-jun (A),
69', Choi Chi-Ung ↓, Suk Hyun-Jun ↑,
71', Son Hwi ↓, Kim Se-Hoon ↑,
71', Ahn Hyun-Beom ↓, Kim Dong-Wook ↑,
79', Kim Chan ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Kang Sin-Myeong ⚽, Lee Jin-Seop (A),
90', Akhadov O. 🟨,
90+3', Gabriel Tigrao ↓, Jin Tae-Ho ↑,
90+3', Hwang Seong-Min 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1).

Yongin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Busan I Park has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Yongin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Busan I Park has had a series of home games.

Busan I Park will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yongin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41
13	Yongin	25	5	12	8	31:35	-4	27

Last Results with these Odds

Busan I Park - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.21%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yongin FC
South Korean K-League 2
01.08.26	Cheonan City - Yongin	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Gimpo - Yongin	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Yongin - Hwaseong	0:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Yongin - Dangjin Citizen	0:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
11.07.26	Yongin - Cheongju	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLLT
- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
02.08.26	Busan I Park - Seoul E-Land	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Busan I Park - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	1:4 ✺
18.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Busan I Park - Geoje Citizen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
11.04.26	Busan I Park - Yongin	2:0

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