Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday

Location: LNER Community Stadium (York)


	York City		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.6
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	1.9	3.5	3.65
	1.95	3.65	3.85
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.9	3.38	3.95
	1.95	3.4	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.71)	3.39 ↓ (3.52)	3.71 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
48.2%

Draw
27.1%

Kidderminster Harriers
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.3%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

27.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that York City's form might have worsened.

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kidderminster Harriers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

York City - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Kidderminster will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for York: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Stockdale D. (G) 9. Akinyemi D. 22. Andoh L. 5. Cordner T. 3. Crookes A. 10. De Castro Q. 11. Kouhyar Q. 6. McLaughlin P. 19. Pybus D. 23. Siziba Z. 30. Woodyard A.	21. Dibble C. (G) 14. Brown Z. 10. Hemmings A. 4. Knight-Percival N. 8. Leesley J. 18. Lissimore K. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 5. Pearce K. 16. Preston M. 3. Richards C.
Substitutes
25. Campbell M. (G) 8. Dyson O. 12. Harriott C. 7. Hurst A. 36. Latty-Fairweather T.	11. Lambert J. 15. McDonagh G. 6. McNally R. 2. Penny A. 7. Phillips K.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches York won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

York will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches York won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-18.

Including matches at home between the teams York won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
05.08.23	Wealdstone - York City	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Accrington Stanley - York City	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Farsley - York City	1:2 ✺
18.07.23	York City - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
15.07.23	York City - Middlesbrough	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWT
- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
05.08.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Woking	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	AFC Telford United - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
25.07.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Northampton Town	2:2 ✺
18.07.23	Halesowen Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:3 ✺
14.07.23	Redditch United - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
22.01.22	Kidderminster Harriers - York City	3:0
14.08.21	York City - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2
05.01.21	Kidderminster Harriers - York City	2:2
22.02.20	Kidderminster Harriers - York City	0:1
02.11.19	York City - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1
16.02.19	Kidderminster Harriers - York City	1:2
English FA Trophy
24.11.18	Kidderminster Harriers - York City	1:3

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