The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Solihull Moors 37.1%
Draw 26.3%
Kidderminster Harriers 36.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.8%
26.3%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
25.3%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Solihull Moors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Solihull Moors's performance.
Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kidderminster Harriers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Solihull Moors than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Solihull Moors that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kidderminster Harriers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 23rd in the Relegation and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Solihull won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Solihull has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Solihull against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.3:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Kidderminster
15
5
6
4
16:14
2
21
23
Solihull Moors
15
3
1
11
17:39
-22
10
Outrights of English National League for now
Solihull Moors: 0.72% Kidderminster: 0.72%
Last Results with these Odds
Solihull Moors - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.76%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.