Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 6

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)


	Yunnan Yukun		Wuxi Wugou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.18	6	11.5
	1.18	5.5	13	Watch
	1.21	6.15	12.63
	1.21	6.15	12.63
	1.17	6.22	12.7	Watch
	1.19	6.2	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.35)	6.04 ↑ (4.56)	12.04 ↑ (7.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunnan Yukun
77.2%

Draw
15.2%

Wuxi Wugou
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.1%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

18.7%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.

Wuxi Wugou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Yunnan Yukun - Wuxi Wugou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 15. Shi Zhe 18. Yi Teng 33. Cao Haiqing 36. Zang Yifeng 10. Ionita II A. 9. Labyad Z. 6. Zhao Yuhao 5. Jiang Jihong 27. Han Zilong 30. Mushekwi N.	31. Xiao B. (G) 3. Li Yi 18. Yue Zhilei 23. Yang Wenji 29. Jiang Zhixin 8. Zhang Yuanshu 10. Tong Le 33. Pobulic D. 11. Mandic S. 19. Li Boxi 7. Guo Song
Substitutes
11. Chen C. 26. Cui Ming'an 2. Li Peng 17. Liu Yi 3. Liu Yi 14. Liu Yuhao 7. Luo Jing 29. Ruan Jun 23. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 12. Zhao Jianan 16. Zhao Jianbo 8. Zhong H.	39. Fu Hao 32. Gao Hanfei 21. He Mingli 17. Hu Shengjia 4. Liang Jinhu 16. Liu Wenhao 12. Song X. 6. Tang Qirun 15. Tursunjan Ahmat 30. Yuan Z. 22. Zhang Jingyi (G) 13. Zhu Yueqi (G)
Coaches
Li J.	Cuadrado I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Yang Wenji 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Xiao B. (Own goal),
56', Li Boxi ↓, Tang Qirun ↑,
65', Zang Yifeng ↓, Liu Yi ↑,
65', Han Zilong ↓, Luo Jing ↑,
66', Tong Le ↓, Tursunjan Ahmat ↑,
74', Shi Zhe ↓, Liu Yi ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Mushekwi N. ⚽,
83', Pobulic D. ↓, Song X. ↑,
84', Ionita II A. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
84', Labyad Z. ↓, Ruan Jun ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Yunnan Yukun in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wuxi Wugou is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yunnan Yukun could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wuxi Wugou have a series of home games.

In this match Yunnan Yukun is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Yunnan Yukun to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Jia League
05.04.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Yunnan Yukun	2:3 ✺
30.03.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Yunnan Yukun	0:5 ✺
23.03.24	Yunnan Yukun - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Yunnan Yukun - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Foshan Nanshi - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWWT
- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
06.04.24	Wuxi Wugou - Qingdao Red Lions	1:6 ✺
31.03.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Wuxi Wugou	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Wuxi Wugou - Suzhou Dongwu	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Wuxi Wugou - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Wuxi Wugou - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWT

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