Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 5

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Location: Ruichang Sports Park Stadium (Jiujiang)

Referee: Xiong X. (Chn)


	Jiangxi Lushan		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9	4.2	1.31
	10	4.33	1.3	Watch
	10.88	4.9	1.3
	10.88	4.9	1.31
	9.5	4.5	1.29
	9.95	4.65	1.28	Watch
	8.8	4.1	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.86 ↑ (5.21)	4.51 ↑ (3.59)	1.3 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
9.3%

Draw
20.3%

Yunnan Yukun
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

25.4%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiangxi Lushan's form might have worsened.

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yunnan Yukun's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Jiangxi Lushan - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Users Predictions: Yunnan Yukun will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Ma Kunyue (G) 22. Song Jian 33. Kang Zhenjie 8. Xie Weichao 24. Du Junpeng 17. Xu Dongdong 23. Yao Zixuan 13. Zhang Yanjun 16. Hu Jiaqi 20. Cui Hao 11. Brown T.	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 36. Zang Yifeng 33. Cao Haiqing 6. Zhao Yuhao 15. Shi Zhe 5. Jiang Jihong 9. Labyad Z. 10. Ionita II A. 27. Han Zilong 30. Mushekwi N. 2. Li Peng
Substitutes
44. Abdukerim Qaharman 18. Faye M. 12. Han Zhen (G) 35. Li Jiahao 15. Liu Zipeng 32. Nihmat Nihat 6. Song Ziwenhao 25. Wang Hongbin 7. Wu Linfeng 26. Zhang Xiang 4. Zhu Mingxin	11. Chen C. 26. Cui Ming'an 21. Li B. 32. Li Guangwen 17. Liu Yi 3. Liu Yi 14. Liu Yuhao 7. Luo Jing 23. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 12. Zhao Jianan 16. Zhao Jianbo 8. Zhong H.
Coaches
Li Zheng	Li J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 1 - 0, Hu Jiaqi ⚽, Brown T. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Jiang Jihong ⚽, Labyad Z. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Mushekwi N. ⚽, Cao Haiqing (A),
34', Hu Jiaqi 🟨,
40', 1 - 3, Zang Yifeng ⚽,
45+3', Kang Zhenjie 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Xu Dongdong ↓, Zhu Mingxin ↑,
58', Cui Hao ↓, Wu Linfeng ↑,
58', Kang Zhenjie ↓, Faye M. ↑,
61', Han Zilong ↓, Liu Yi ↑,
63', Xie Weichao ↓, Zhang Xiang ↑,
66', 2 - 3, Faye M. ⚽,
80', Yao Zixuan ↓, Abdukerim Qaharman ↑,
81', Labyad Z. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
90+3', Ionita II A. ↓, Liu Yuhao ↑,
90+3', Zang Yifeng ↓, Luo Jing ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

In this match Yunnan Yukun is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
30.03.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Jiangxi Lushan	4:0 ✺
23.03.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Jia League
30.03.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Yunnan Yukun	0:5 ✺
23.03.24	Yunnan Yukun - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Yunnan Yukun - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Foshan Nanshi - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
Chinese Yi League
22.10.23	Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Institute of Technology	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWTW

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