Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Ząbkovia Ząbki		Wasilków

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	4.05
	1.82	4.21	3.07
	1.52	5.47	4	Watch
	1.67	3.9	3.75
	1.86	4.04	3.37	Watch
	1.63	3.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.5)	4.22 ↓ (4.5)	3.72 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ząbkovia Ząbki
53.9%

Draw
21.6%

Wasilków
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

19.7%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

21.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ząbkovia Ząbki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ząbkovia Ząbki's form might have worsened.

Wasilków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ząbkovia Ząbki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wasilków than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wasilków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wasilków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Radaszkiewicz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Cholewa M. ⚽,
83', 0 - 3, Mazurek A. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Ząbkovia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wasilków has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ząbkovia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ząbkovia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zabki	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.04.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wisła Płock II	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - GKS Bełchatów	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- KS Wasilków
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.04.26	Wasilków - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Widzew Łódź II - Wasilków	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Wasilków - GKS Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Troszyn - Wasilków	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Mławianka Mława - Wasilków	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.10.25	Wasilków - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:5

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