Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Ząbkovia Ząbki

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.35	4.95
	1.73	3.78	3.53
	1.79	4.03	3.49	Watch
	1.54	4.66	4.66	Watch
	1.65	3.97	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.65)	4.16 ↑ (3.97)	4.06 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
55.7%

Draw
21.9%

Ząbkovia Ząbki
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

22.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

21.2%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ząbkovia Ząbki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Bogus B. ⚽,
67', 2 - 0, Pienkowski M. ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Kalisz K. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ząbkovia has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zabki	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16
12	T. Mazowiecki	11	4	1	6	21:23	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Widzew Łódź II	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Broń Radom - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wikielec	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWWL
- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.04.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wisła Płock II	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - GKS Bełchatów	1:4 ✺
21.03.26	Troszyn - Ząbkovia Ząbki	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.10.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1

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