Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Ząbkovia Ząbki		Wisła Płock II

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.75	3.05
	1.54	4.1	4.57
	1.56	4.36	4.51	Watch
	1.49	4.64	5.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.19)	4.21 ↑ (3.75)	4.32 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ząbkovia Ząbki
56.7%

Draw
21.9%

Wisła Płock II
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

24.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

23.3%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ząbkovia Ząbki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ząbkovia Ząbki's performance.

Wisła Płock II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wisła Płock II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ząbkovia Ząbki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wisła Płock II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wisła Płock II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Lodzinski F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)

Ząbkovia has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wisła Płock II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wisła Płock II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wisła Płock II has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Wisła Płock II will win today's game, with odds of 2.73.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ząbkovia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Plock II	11	5	3	3	22:18	4	18
7	Zabki	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - GKS Bełchatów	1:4 ✺
21.03.26	Troszyn - Ząbkovia Ząbki	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.04.26	Wisła Płock II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:4 ✺
25.03.26	Znicz Biała Piska - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Wisła Płock II - Wigry Suwałki	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Wisła Płock II - Mławianka Mława	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Wisła Płock II - Broń Radom	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.25	Wisła Płock II - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:2

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