Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO


	Zacatecoluca		Fuerte San Francisco

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.98	2.45
	2.84	3.17	2.48
	2.78	3.25	2.48	Watch
	2.63	3	2.45
	2.62	3.35	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.49)	3.15 ↑ (2.92)	2.49 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zacatecoluca
33.8%

Draw
29.2%

Fuerte San Francisco
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

30.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zacatecoluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuerte San Francisco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 11).

Zacatecoluca is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fuerte is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zacatecoluca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Zacatecoluca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Fuerte San Francisco	14	1	6	7	9:23	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zacatecoluca FC
El Salvador Primera Division
15.04.26	Zacatecoluca - Municipal Limeño	3:4 ✺
12.04.26	Águila - Zacatecoluca	1:0 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
07.04.26	Zacatecoluca - Inter FA	0:4 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
04.04.26	Zacatecoluca - CD FAS	1:6 ✺
01.04.26	Hércules - Zacatecoluca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
15.04.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Municipal Limeño	0:2 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
09.04.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
05.04.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Águila - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
22.02.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Zacatecoluca	2:2
05.11.25	Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco	0:0
04.09.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Zacatecoluca	1:2

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