Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Ślęza Wrocław

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.8	3.95
	1.63	4.41	3.65
	1.88	4.22	3.1	Watch
	1.53	4	4.2
	1.58	4.32	4.63	Watch
	1.93	3.52	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.93)	4.05 ↑ (3.52)	3.76 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
53.3%

Draw
22.5%

Ślęza Wrocław
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.1%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

26.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zagłębie 2 Lubin's performance.

Ślęza Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zagłębie 2 Lubin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ślęza Wrocław than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Ślęza Wrocław Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Gabriel Dornellas ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Bienkowski K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 1, Gregorski D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie 2 won 1.

Recent performances by Zagłębie 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ślęza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zagłębie 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zagłębie 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie 2 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Zaglebie II	11	6	5	0	23:13	10	23
15	Sleza Wroclaw	11	3	1	7	17:26	-9	10

Last Results with these Odds

Ślęza Wrocław - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.01%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.04.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:5 ✺
10.04.26	Polonia Nysa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:4 ✺
04.04.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Kluczbork	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTLW
- Ślęza Wrocław
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.04.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Carina Gubin - Ślęza Wrocław	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Ślęza Wrocław - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sparta Katowice - Ślęza Wrocław	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
03.10.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:1
09.04.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Ślęza Wrocław	2:2
04.09.21	Ślęza Wrocław - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	5:2
08.05.21	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Ślęza Wrocław	0:1
03.10.20	Ślęza Wrocław - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1
14.09.19	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Ślęza Wrocław	1:1
30.03.19	Ślęza Wrocław - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:0

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