Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Stomil Olsztyn

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3
	2.05	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.06	3.6	3.34
	2.01	3.56	3.34
	1.85	3.5	3.1
	1.95	3.56	3.24	Watch
	2.06	3.65	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.8)	3.55 ↓ (3.65)	3.19 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
45.7%

Draw
25.7%

Stomil Olsztyn
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.5%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.1%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie 2 Lubin's form might have worsened.

Stomil Olsztyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stomil Olsztyn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie 2 Lubin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stomil Olsztyn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Stomil Olsztyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weirauch S. (G) 9. Adamski R. 4. Jach J. 5. Karasinski S. 6. Kocaba F. 2. Kolan J. (C) 7. Kruszelnicki P. 11. Kusztal P. 3. Lepczynski K. 10. Popielec C. 8. Terlecki K.	30. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 18. Bezpalec M. 50. Karlikowski M. 4. Kosmicki I. 7. Krawczun H. 9. Kurbiel P. 23. Laskowski F. 19. Pietraszkiewicz D. 25. Sadowski H. 14. Szabaciuk F. 10. Zwir K. (C)
Substitutes
19. Antkiewicz F. 14. Dziewiatowski M. 17. Kizyma M. 15. Lipp M. 18. Masiak K. 13. Sochan K. 12. Steffen A. (G) 16. Sygieniewicz O. 20. Szafranek W.	89. Bala T. 74. Drabiszczak M. 1. Jakubowski L. (G) 99. Kondracki K. 6. Shinonaga Y. 8. Stromecki M. 29. Tuleja R. 26. Walencik B.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Zagłębie 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zagłębie 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
12.11.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Stal Stalowa Wola	4:0 ✺
06.11.23	ŁKS Łódź II - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Wisła Puławy - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:3 ✺
26.10.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1 ✺
23.10.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTTL
- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 2
12.11.23	Radunia Stężyca - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
08.11.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Skra Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Stomil Olsztyn	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
23.07.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:2
13.11.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Stomil Olsztyn	0:4
24.07.22	Stomil Olsztyn - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	6:2

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