Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Pogoń Siedlce		Zagłębie 2 Lubin

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4
	1.7	3.75	4	Watch
	1.76	3.8	4.17
	1.76	3.68	4.17
	1.65	3.7	3.9
	1.67	3.78	4.25	Watch
	1.77	3.8	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	4.06 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
53.2%

Draw
24.4%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Pogoń Siedlce - Zagłębie 2 Lubin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burek J. (G) 20. Bujalski C. 56. Demianiuk C. 31. Dzieciol E. 43. Hrnciar L. 2. Lewandowski T. (C) 4. Misiak P. 10. Nowak D. 18. Pyrdol P. 16. Sinior J. 7. Szuprytowski D.	1. Weirauch S. (G) 10. Dudzinski D. 4. Jach J. 5. Karasinski S. 6. Kizyma M. (C) 11. Kruszelnicki P. 9. Kusztal P. 3. Lepczynski K. 7. Masiak K. 2. Orlikowski I. 8. Terlecki K.
Substitutes
29. Babor D. 14. Burka D. 23. Derlatka H. 97. Kowynia J. (G) 21. Majewski M. 3. Majewski R. 22. Myszkowski O. 26. Okusami J. 99. Wicenciak B.	17. Adamski R. 16. Antkiewicz F. 15. Kocaba F. 13. Kolan J. 12. Matys M. (G) 14. Sochan K. 18. Szafranek W.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Pogoń Siedlce is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zagłębie 2 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zagłębie 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pogoń Siedlce is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
15.10.23	Radunia Stężyca - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Skra Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 2
23.09.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLT
- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
07.10.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Radunia Stężyca - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Skra Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
05.11.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:0
16.07.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0

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