Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday


	Lech Poznań 2		Stomil Olsztyn

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.55
	2.35	3.5	2.6
	2.41	3.55	2.75
	2.44	3.33	2.77
	2.2	3.4	2.45
	2.38	3.34	2.62	Watch
	2.35	3.55	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)	2.64 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
38.9%

Draw
26.5%

Stomil Olsztyn
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

27.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Stomil Olsztyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stomil Olsztyn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lech Poznań 2 - Stomil Olsztyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Pruchniewski M. (G) 23. Dziuba M. 99. Gholizadeh A. 3. Kukulka K. 22. Nadolski A. 14. Olejnik P. 7. Orlowski M. 9. Paclawski N. 55. Pingot M. 4. Tomaszewski B. 54. Wilak F.	1. Jakubowski L. (G) 18. Bezpalec M. 50. Karlikowski M. 99. Kondracki K. 4. Kosmicki I. 7. Krawczun H. 9. Kurbiel P. 25. Sadowski H. 14. Szabaciuk F. 11. Wojcik F. 10. Zwir K. (C)
Substitutes
6. Cywka T. 15. Juszczyk B. 16. Kornobis I. 17. Lisman K. 13. Niedzielski J. 10. Pawlowski S. 1. Stachowiak A. (G) 5. Wichtowski M. 8. Zoladz B.	89. Bala T. 74. Drabiszczak M. 77. Florek B. 30. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 19. Pietraszkiewicz D. 47. Rezaeian D. 6. Shinonaga Y. 29. Tuleja R. 26. Walencik B.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

The competitors look crappy now.

Stomil could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lech 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lech 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
04.11.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Lech Poznań 2	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Hutnik	4:3 ✺
20.10.23	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Lech Poznań 2	3:1 ✺
30.09.23	Lech Poznań 2 - ŁKS Łódź II	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLLL
- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 2
04.11.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Skra Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Stomil Olsztyn	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
02.10.23	Polonia Bytom - Stomil Olsztyn	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
07.05.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Stomil Olsztyn	0:3
01.10.22	Stomil Olsztyn - Lech Poznań 2	2:2
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Lech Poznań 2 - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1

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