Match Info

I Liqa - Round 5

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Zagatala		Səbail

	1	X	2
	15.5	6.2	1.11	Watch
	12.08	7.01	1.1
	16.5	5.5	1.16	Watch
	13	6	1.1
	13.2	7.09	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.06 ↑ (5.71)	6.36 ↑ (3.8)	1.13 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagatala
6.4%

Draw
14.1%

Səbail
79.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16%

24.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagatala's form might have worsened.

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Səbail's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Zagatala - Səbail Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Səbail will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Səbail (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Nongoh S. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Said Y. ⚽,
24', 0 - 3, Dinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 6th and 3rd).

Zagatala could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Səbail holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Zagatala has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:11 (averaging 0.6:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zagatala against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 1:7 goals (averaging 0.3:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sabail	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11
7	Zaqatala	5	1	1	3	6:14	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagatala PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
07.10.26	Shahdag Qusar - Zagatala	6:0 ✺
16.09.26	Karvan - Zagatala	3:0 ✺
10.09.26	Zagatala - Baku Sporting	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	2:2 ✺
22.05.26	Zagatala - Şəfa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 LLWTW
- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan First Division
08.10.26	Səbail - Karvan	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Baku Sporting - Səbail	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Səbail - Mingachevir	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Xankəndi - Səbail	1:1 ✺
22.05.26	Mingachevir - Səbail	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
06.05.26	Zagatala - Səbail	0:3
05.02.26	Zagatala - Səbail	0:1
15.10.25	Səbail - Zagatala	1:0
Azerbaijan Cup
10.12.21	Zagatala - Səbail	1:3
24.01.21	Səbail - Zagatala	3:2

Zagatala - Səbail: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide