Match Info

I Liqa - Round 3

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday


	Baku Sporting		Səbail

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.35	1.68	Watch
	4.57	3.49	1.68	Watch
	4.25	3.25	1.66
	4.83	3.38	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (3.54)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	1.67 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Baku Sporting
19.8%

Draw
26.6%

Səbail
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baku Sporting's form might have worsened.

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Səbail's recent form is better than expected.

Baku Sporting - Səbail Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Said Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, Səbail is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sabail	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7
10	Baku Sporting	3	0	0	3	0:7	-7	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baku Sporting
Azerbaijan First Division
10.09.26	Zagatala - Baku Sporting	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Baku Sporting - Karvan	0:3 ✺
22.05.26	Shahdag Qusar - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Baku Sporting - Zagatala	3:0 ✺
07.05.26	Cəbrayıl - Baku Sporting	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWW
- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan First Division
10.09.26	Səbail - Mingachevir	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Xankəndi - Səbail	1:1 ✺
22.05.26	Mingachevir - Səbail	4:1 ✺
15.05.26	Səbail - Shahdag Qusar	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Zagatala - Səbail	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
02.04.26	Səbail - Baku Sporting	1:0
24.02.26	Səbail - Baku Sporting	0:0
21.11.25	Baku Sporting - Səbail	0:0

Upcoming Matches