Match Info

I Liqa - Round 27

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Zagatala		Şəfa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	16.5	6.3	1.12
	17.21	7.24	1.12
	17	5.51	1.16	Watch
	21	6	1.13
	19	6.6	1.1
	6.5	4.25	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.2 ↑ (6.81)	5.98 ↑ (4.33)	1.16 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zagatala
5.7%

Draw
15.4%

Şəfa
79%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

20.8%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

20%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagatala's form might have worsened.

Şəfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Şəfa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagatala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Şəfa than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Şəfa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zagatala - Şəfa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Aliyev I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Abdullayev S. ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, Mammadov M. ⚽,

Preview

Şəfa is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League

Zagatala has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Şəfa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Şəfa is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Şəfa will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zagatala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zaqatala	4	1	1	2	5:11	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagatala PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
15.05.26	Baku Sporting - Zagatala	3:0 ✺
06.05.26	Zagatala - Səbail	0:3 ✺
29.04.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	7:1 ✺
22.04.26	Zagatala - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Şəfa FK
Azerbaijan First Division
15.05.26	Şəfa - Cəbrayıl	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Difai Ağsu - Şəfa	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Şəfa - Shimal	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Şəfa - MOIK Baku	3:0 ✺
16.04.26	Baku Sporting - Şəfa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
11.12.25	Şəfa - Zagatala	1:1

Upcoming Matches