Match Info

Division 2 - Round 33

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		KKS Kalisz

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.45	3.15
	2.02	3.6	3.15
	2.04	3.58	3.26	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	1.92	3.48	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.8)	3.47 ↓ (3.63)	3.26 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
45.9%

Draw
26.2%

KKS Kalisz
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

25.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

24.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - KKS Kalisz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Siuta K. (G) 95. Barc M. 27. Borun B. 8. Gogol P. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 3. Janiszewski G. 14. Laskowski F. 21. Matras M. (C) 9. Shikavka Y. 5. Zajac J. 77. Zawojski B.	1. Krakowiak M. (G) 8. Andruszko M. 6. Cierpka A. 10. Danielak K. 22. Derkacz K. 21. Flak J. 30. Grabowski M. 55. Hirosawa T. 7. Jelen J. 16. Putno B. 4. Wypych M.
Substitutes
6. Broniewski M. 23. Checinski B. 22. Dziedzic I. 1. Kabala M. (G) 4. Mironowicz K. 19. Predenkiewicz M. 11. Snopczynski B. 43. Szot D. 18. Wolowiec K.	71. Banasiak P. 23. Bialczyk M. 9. Flisiuk K. 12. Idasiak H. (G) 20. Janiak K. 35. Kieliba B. 80. Kort K. 37. Zawistowski N. 59. Zdybowicz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Flak J. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Gogol P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Zawojski B. ↓, Dziedzic I. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Gogol P. ⚽,
70', Cierpka A. ↓, Janiak K. ↑,
70', Danielak K. ↓, Zawistowski N. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Dziedzic I. ⚽,
76', Gogol P. ↓, Broniewski M. ↑,
76', Borun B. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
78', Jelen J. ↓, Flisiuk K. ↑,
81', Putno B. 🟨,
83', Barc M. ↓, Wolowiec K. ↑,
83', Shikavka Y. ↓, Snopczynski B. ↑,
90+1', Andruszko M. ↓, Bialczyk M. ↑,
90+1', Hirosawa T. ↓, Zdybowicz P. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

KKS Kalisz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, KKS Kalisz has had a series of away games.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

KKS Kalisz - the odds 3.74 are the expected chance of winning is 24.33%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
16.05.26	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Hutnik	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - ŁKS Łódź II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
17.05.26	KKS Kalisz - Warta Poznań	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - KKS Kalisz	3:2 ✺
01.05.26	Resovia Rzeszów - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - KKS Kalisz	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Olimpia Grudziądz - KKS Kalisz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
09.11.25	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1
22.03.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - KKS Kalisz	0:1
25.08.24	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2

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