Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Olimpia Grudziądz

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.38	3.35	2.65
	2.83	3.35	2.33
	2.44	3.63	2.64	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.51	3.46	2.62	Watch
	2.38	3.35	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.73)	3.36 ↑ (3.32)	2.58 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
37.1%

Draw
27.3%

Olimpia Grudziądz
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.4%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.3%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Olimpia Grudziądz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matys M. (G) 9. Adamski R. 13. Bondarenko M. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 2. Jakubowski F. 7. Kolanko K. 10. Kruszelnicki P. (C) 23. Kusztal P. 80. Mikolajewski D. 4. Orlikowski I. 18. Radwanski A.	30. Gorski K. (G) 21. Bonikowski J. 20. Chmarek M. 44. Frelek D. (C) 77. Kobryn R. 15. Koncewicz-Zylka P. 11. Krocz S. 26. Sewerzynski O. 93. Tsyupa I. 17. Wojcik F. 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
19. Czekala M. . Dorozko J. . Koczy K. 8. Laskowski K. 5. Lipp M. 14. Moczynski B. . Slobodzian D. (G) 6. Wandachowicz B. 17. Zynek B.	33. Budchan E. (G) 10. Cichon K. 8. Guzdek B. 3. Klimczak A. 72. Koperski F. 2. Maruszak I. 9. Mas M. 29. Rychert K. 6. Sikorski O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Zbiciak B. ⚽,
38', Chmarek M. 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Adamski R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Adamski R. ↓, Laskowski K. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Kolanko K. ⚽,
59', Matys M. 🟨,
60', Laskowski K. 🟨,
73', Kolanko K. ↓, Dorozko J. ↑,
79', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Division 2 (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Olimpia have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zagłębie 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
08.03.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - KKS Kalisz	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:3 ✺
18.01.25	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWL
- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
09.03.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Resovia Rzeszów	0:3 ✺
02.03.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.02.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Unia Skierniewice	3:1 ✺
15.02.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Elana Toruń	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
17.08.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:0
30.03.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2
16.09.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2

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