Match Info

Division 2 - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Kalisz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	KKS Kalisz		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	1.98	Watch
	3.59	3.47	2
	3.4	3.46	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.1	1.91
	3.63	3.4	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.7)	3.35 ↑ (3.33)	1.96 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KKS Kalisz
26.3%

Draw
27.3%

Warta Poznań
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

27.2%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

27.1%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+2%)

KKS Kalisz - Warta Poznań Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krakowiak M. (G) 23. Bialczyk M. 6. Cierpka A. 10. Danielak K. 22. Derkacz K. 30. Grabowski M. 55. Hirosawa T. 35. Kieliba B. 19. Paszkowski J. 16. Putno B. 59. Zdybowicz P.	42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 8. Kumoch K. (C) 23. Kusztal P. 2. Lepczynski K. 3. Michalski S. 13. Niedzielski J. 29. Rychert K. 17. Stefaniak M. 19. Szymanek K. 7. Walus F.
Substitutes
8. Andruszko M. 71. Banasiak P. 21. Flak J. 12. Idasiak H. (G) . Janiak K. 7. Jelen J. 5. Staszak J. 4. Wypych M. 37. Zawistowski N.	20. Dziedzic K. 16. Kornobis I. 1. Kosiorek J. (G) 15. Kwiatkowski P. 9. Stanek M. 71. Steblecki S. 11. Tonder F. 10. Wiktoruk B. 21. Zylla M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Kusztal P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hirosawa T. ↓, Zawistowski N. ↑,
58', Niedzielski J. ↓, Steblecki S. ↑,
68', Walus F. ↓, Smoczynski M. ↑,
70', Jelen J. ↓, Zdybowicz P. ↑,
70', Janiak K. ↓, Danielak K. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Stefaniak M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Warta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, KKS Kalisz has had a series of away games.

In this match, Warta is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, KKS Kalisz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
09.05.26	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - KKS Kalisz	3:2 ✺
01.05.26	Resovia Rzeszów - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - KKS Kalisz	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Olimpia Grudziądz - KKS Kalisz	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	KKS Kalisz - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWTLT
- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 2
10.05.26	Warta Poznań - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Hutnik - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Olimpia Grudziądz - Warta Poznań	2:4 ✺
19.04.26	Warta Poznań - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Warta Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
31.10.25	Warta Poznań - KKS Kalisz	4:2
Club Friendly
09.02.23	Warta Poznań - KKS Kalisz	1:0

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