Match Info

Division 2 - Round 31

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Hutnik

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.35	2.28	Watch
	2.71	3.57	2.33
	2.65	3.73	2.36	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.25
	2.62	3.38	2.3	Watch
	2.19	3.35	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.16)	3.44 ↑ (3.26)	2.39 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
35.3%

Draw
26.5%

Hutnik
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Sosnowiec's form might have worsened.

Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hutnik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hutnik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Hutnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Siuta K. (G) 95. Barc M. 27. Borun B. 8. Gogol P. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 3. Janiszewski G. 14. Laskowski F. 4. Mironowicz K. 19. Predenkiewicz M. 9. Shikavka Y. (C) 43. Szot D.	1. Wroblewski K. (G) 14. Bracik K. 5. Burka D. 2. Galazka A. 13. Gandziarowski M. 4. Kedziora L. 77. Prusinski K. 24. Semik K. 10. Sowinski M. 6. Urbanczyk M. 43. Zawada O.
Substitutes
6. Broniewski M. 22. Dziedzic I. 1. Kabala M. (G) 21. Matras M. 20. Pawlusinski M. 10. Ronnberg L. 11. Snopczynski B. 7. Sobczak S. 5. Zajac J.	18. Basse A. 96. Guerrier W. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 8. Jopek S. 37. Motrycz A. 19. Rzepka K. 21. Szablowski K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Mironowicz K. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Kedziora L. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
38', Janiszewski G. 🟨,
42', 🟨,
45+1', Burka D. 🟨,
45+3', Predenkiewicz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Urbanczyk M. ↓, Jopek S. ↑,
52', Bracik K. 🟨,
62', Predenkiewicz M. ↓, Ronnberg L. ↑,
63', Barc M. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
65', Zawada O. ↓, Basse A. ↑,
73', Kedziora L. ↓, Hoyo-Kowalski D. ↑,
73', Semik K. ↓, Guerrier W. ↑,
74', Borun B. 🟨,
81', Borun B. ↓, Snopczynski B. ↑,
81', Laskowski F. ↓, Broniewski M. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Basse A. ⚽,
84', Galazka A. ↓, Szablowski K. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Hutnik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Hutnik Krakow: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Hutnik Krakow	10	4	3	3	16:13	3	15

Last Results with these Odds

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 40.99%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Hutnik - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 31.85%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
30.04.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - ŁKS Łódź II	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Swit Skolwin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL
- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
03.05.26	Hutnik - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Hutnik - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Swit Skolwin - Hutnik	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Hutnik - Sokół Kleczew	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Hutnik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
25.10.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0
Polish Cup
05.08.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:0
Polish Division 2
30.03.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:4
31.08.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Hutnik	2:3
Club Friendly
06.02.21	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Hutnik	2:0

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