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Current Win Probability
Zagłębie Sosnowiec 53.5%
Draw 28.1%
Skra Częstochowa 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.7%
23.1%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
23.1%
17.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Sosnowiec's form might have worsened.
Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
87. Siuta K. (G) 21. Agbor E. 27. Borun B. 3. Janiszewski G. 10. Mularczyk P. 6. Niewulis A. (C) 20. Pawlusinski M. 11. Snopczynski B. 13. Sukhotskyi A. 17. Valencia J. 7. Zalewski S.
30. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 31. Estigarribia G. 22. Kaczorowski K. 4. Kucharczyk O. 23. Lawrynowicz I. 77. Lorenc M. 16. Niedbala J. 7. Nocon P. (C) 26. Sobczak K. 98. Stangret M. 90. Stec J.
Substitutes
9. Bilinski K. 19. Duda M. . Kabala M. (G) 8. Marciniec P. 88. Paszczela B. . Staniak M. 25. Szostek P. 80. Uchnast L. 77. Zawojski B.
68. Kaczmarek M. 1. Kramarz F. (G) . Kroczek D. 18. Lesniak Paduch N. 85. Noworyta K. 5. Owczarek P. 25. Sadowski H. 11. Winciersz M. 8. Wrobel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Kaczorowski K. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Snopczynski B. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Niewulis A. ⚽,
32', Pawlusinski M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', Kucharczyk O. 🟥,
63', Niedbala J. ↓, Sadowski H. ↑,
66', Zalewski S. 🟨,
74', Garstkiewicz M. ↓, Kramarz F. ↑,
74', Sobczak K. ↓, Owczarek P. ↑,
75', Lawrynowicz I. ↓, Wrobel M. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Snopczynski B. ⚽,
77', Snopczynski B. ↓, Bilinski K. ↑,
77', Pawlusinski M. ↓, Uchnast L. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Owczarek P. ⚽,
86', Zalewski S. ↓, Duda M. ↑,
86', Mularczyk P. ↓, Paszczela B. ↑,
90+8', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Skra Częstochowa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Skra Częstochowa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Zagłębie Sosnowiec is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.8:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
Poland
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Siuta K. (G) 
Agbor E. 
Sukhotskyi A. 
Valencia J. 
Estigarribia G. 
Kroczek D. 
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