Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 8

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Olimpia Elbląg		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.83
	3.55	3.4	1.85
	3.85	3.63	1.89
	3.78	3.44	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.52)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
24.8%

Draw
26.2%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

26.1%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

23.9%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Olimpia Elbląg - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Witan A. (G) 12. Czaplinski D. 6. Czernis M. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 19. Kozera D. 13. Kuczalek M. (C) 9. Kuzimski M. 24. Mruk B. 10. Senkevich Y. 5. Szczudlinski K. 30. Wierzba D.	87. Siuta K. (G) 9. Bilinski K. 27. Borun B. 3. Janiszewski G. 4. Kurtovic R. 8. Marciniec P. 6. Niewulis A. (C) 11. Snopczynski B. 13. Sukhotskyi A. 80. Uchnast L. 17. Valencia J.
Substitutes
15. Krynski A. 4. Laszak K. 20. Rychter A. 7. Stepien R. 16. Szalecki D. 26. Sznajder F. 14. Tiahlo O. 1. Tulowiecki K. (G) 28. Yatsenko O.	21. Agbor E. 23. Checinski B. 19. Duda M. 33. Kos M. (G) . Mielczarek P. 10. Mularczyk P. 88. Paszczela B. 20. Pawlusinski M. 77. Zawojski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Kordykiewicz O. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Wierzba D. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Bilinski K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 3 - 1, Kordykiewicz O. ⚽, Kozera D. (A),
71', 4 - 1, Kordykiewicz O. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Elbląg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
01.09.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Wieczysta Kraków	0:4 ✺
18.08.24	Wisła Puławy - Olimpia Elbląg	3:2 ✺
10.08.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Olimpia Elbląg	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
31.08.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Hutnik	2:3 ✺
25.08.24	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
16.08.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - ŁKS Łódź II	2:2 ✺
11.08.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTTL

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