The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zakho 33.6%
Draw 35.3%
Newroz 31.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.8%
28.1%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
28.6%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zakho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zakho's form might have worsened.
The chances for Newroz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zakho than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zakho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Zakho - Newroz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Neto Acara ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 5th).
Recent results have been tough for Zakho (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Newroz shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Zakho is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Zakho has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 1.4:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zakho against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 2:0.3 per game).