Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Zamalek		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.7	3.2	Watch
	2.35	2.8	2.95
	2.25	2.8	3.3
	2.37	2.8	3.1
	2.34	2.85	3.34
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.33	3.02	3.18	Watch
	2.41	2.85	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.38)	2.83 ↑ (2.81)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamalek
38.9%

Draw
32.2%

Espérance ST
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

32.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

33.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamalek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	46.2%	38.5%

Zamalek - Espérance ST Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Zamalek will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Espérance ST will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zamalek won 1.

Recent matches Zamalek is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Espérance ST in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Espérance ST could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zamalek have a series of guest games.

Zamalek will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Zamalek won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Zamalek won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamalek
Egyptian Premier League
03.03.23	Pyramids - Zamalek	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
25.02.23	Espérance ST - Zamalek	2:0 ✺
17.02.23	Al-Merreikh - Zamalek	0:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
13.02.23	Smouha - Zamalek	1:3 ✺
CAF Champions League
10.02.23	Zamalek - Belouizdad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTWL
- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
02.03.23	Ben Guerdane - Espérance ST	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
25.02.23	Espérance ST - Zamalek	2:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
22.02.23	Espérance ST - Ben Guerdane	4:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
18.02.23	Belouizdad - Espérance ST	0:1 ✺
Tunisian Cup
15.02.23	Espérance ST - ES Djerba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
25.02.23	Espérance ST - Zamalek	2:0
16.03.21	Zamalek - Espérance ST	0:1
06.03.21	Espérance ST - Zamalek	3:1
06.03.20	Espérance ST - Zamalek	1:0
28.02.20	Zamalek - Espérance ST	3:1
CAF Super Cup
14.02.20	Espérance ST - Zamalek	1:3

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