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Current Win Probability
Haras El-Hodood 28.4%
Draw 32.7%
Smouha 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
35.2%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
37.2%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haras El-Hodood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Smouha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Smouha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
30.8%
53.8%
Haras El Hodood - Smouha Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Haras El-Hodood will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Smouha will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Smouha: 26.7% โ 80.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. El Zanfaly M. (G) 5. Abdelhakim I. 4. Abou-Salima I. 14. Ashraf M. (C) 24. Awad M. 12. Bayoumi M. 10. El Henawy F. 9. Gamal A. 99. Hamdi M. 33. Mohamed M. 74. Ouka M.
28. Mayhoub A. (G) 12. Afifi Y. 9. Ashraf H. 4. Dabash M. 10. El Ghandour K. 7. El Sisi A. 8. Fekri S. 66. Mohamed K. 24. Ragab M. 11. Reda S. (C) 33. Yehia A.
Substitutes
25. Ashraf I. 17. El Deghemy M. 29. El Negely M. 19. El Sheikh A. 22. Fathi O. 55. Helal M. H. 45. Kouadja K. 90. Nail A. 16. Seha A. (G)
23. Amadi S. 16. Amankona S. 6. Amer A. 20. Badji P. 35. Fawzi A. 2. Hafez H. 30. Hassan A. 21. Mostafa M. 29. Taimour H. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Hamdi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bayoumi M. ↓, Fathi O. ↑,
46', Yehia A. ↓, Amadi S. ↑,
46', Ashraf H. ↓, Badji P. ↑,
46', Badji P. 🟨,
60', Hamdi M. ↓, El Negely M. ↑,
64', Ouka M. 🟨,
66', Afifi Y. ↓, Amer A. ↑,
76', Mohamed K. ↓, Amankona S. ↑,
76', Gamal A. ↓, Nail A. ↑,
82', Abou-Salima I. ↓, El Deghemy M. ↑,
83', Fathi O. 🟨,
84', Reda S. ↓, Fawzi A. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Badji P. ⚽,
90+3', Amankona S. 🟨,
90+3', Awad M. 🟨,
90+5', Abdelhakim I. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
101', Fathi O. ↓, El Sheikh A. ↑,
116', El Deghemy M. 🟨,
119', Mayhoub A. ↓, Taimour H. ↑,
120', Fekri S. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 0.
Recent form of Haras El-Hodood has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Smouha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Haras El-Hodood has had a series of away games.
Smouha will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Haras El-Hodood won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.3).
Egypt
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El Zanfaly M. (G) 
Mohamed K. 
Amadi S. 
Amankona S. 
Badji P. 
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