Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 10

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Levy Mwanawasa Stadium (Ndola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
Croatia	SportKlub 4
France	New World TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 4
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Niger	Tele Sahel
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-africa	SuperSport PSL
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+
Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Zambia		Niger

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.05	4.45
	2.04	3.05	4.6
	2.35	2.77	3.52	Watch
	1.85	3.18	4.72	Watch
	1.48	4.2	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.42)	3.21 ↓ (4.2)	4.71 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zambia
49.7%

Draw
29.9%

Niger
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

22.1%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zambia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zambia's form might have worsened.

Niger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niger's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	15.4%	23.1%

Zambia - Niger Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Zambia will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Niger will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zambia: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Zambia (votes: 2 - 40%). Niger (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Niger (1.81) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Zambia (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Niger (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mulenga T. L. (G) Kabwe 9. Banda L. Lecce 23. Chilufya E. Midtjylland 14. Chongo K. Zesco 20. Daka P. Leicester 22. Kangwa K. H. Beer Sheva 15. Kapumbu K. 13. Mphande G. P. 8. Musonda L. (C) Magdeburg 6. Sakala B. Bohemians 1905 10. Sakala F. Al Fayha	22. Tanja M. (G) ASFAN 13. Abdourahmane M. AS Gabes 19. Adamou H. St Josephs 10. Adebayor V. Singida Black Stars 2. Alhassane R. R. Oviedo 12. Badamassi O. Kawkab Marrakech 20. Moutari A. Al-Faisaly Amman 6. Oumarou Y. (C) Al-Karma 23. Pape M. 3. Sako O. FK Rostov 7. Sosah D. Aktobe
Substitutes
12. Banda E. Maccabi Bnei Raina 2. Banda M. Nkana 17. Chama C. Singida Black Stars 21. Chanda D. Power Dynamos 3. Chisala O. Al-Merreikh 1. Chooma P. (G) 5. Hamansenya D. Leganes 18. Kalumba C. (G) Red Arrows 4. Musonda F. 19. Musonda K. Hapoel Ramat Gan 11. Sabobo J. H. Beer Sheva 24. Siame G.	16. Abiboulaye H. (G) 1. Boukary I. (G) 5. Camara A. Bylis 18. Diori Y. . Djibo A. 11. Goumey A. 17. Goumey B. 15. Hassane A. Wydad Fes . Ibrahim M. 8. Sabo A. Suduva 4. Yakubu N. Persijap Jepara
Coaches
Grant A.	Badou E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Alhassane R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Sosah D. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Sosah D. ⚽,
65', Chilufya E. ↓, Musonda K. ↑,
72', Pape M. ↓, Yakubu N. ↑,
72', Moutari A. ↓, Djibo A. ↑,
73', Kapumbu K. ↓, Banda E. ↑,
73', Banda L. ↓, Sabobo J. ↑,
78', Badamassi O. ↓, Goumey B. ↑,
88', Mphande G. P. ↓, Chisala O. ↑,
89', Sakala B. ↓, Kampamba K. ↑,
89', Tanja M. 🟨,

Preview

Niger has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Zambia is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zambia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zambia
FIFA World Cup
08.10.25	Tanzania - Zambia	0:1 ✺
08.09.25	Zambia - Morocco	0:2 ✺
African Nations Championship
17.08.25	Zambia - Kenya	0:1 ✺
14.08.25	Morocco - Zambia	3:1 ✺
10.08.25	Zambia - Angola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL
- Niger
FIFA World Cup
08.10.25	Niger - Congo	3:1 ✺
09.09.25	Tanzania - Niger	0:1 ✺
05.09.25	Morocco - Niger	5:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
18.08.25	Algeria - Niger	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Niger - South Africa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
21.11.23	Niger - Zambia	2:1
Friendly
02.01.21	Zambia - Niger	3:3
Africa Cup of Nations
15.10.14	Zambia - Niger	3:0
11.10.14	Niger - Zambia	0:0

Zambia - Niger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide